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Making Your First Prediction

Ready to predict the future? Here's how to place your first prediction on Oyrade.

Step 1: Find a Market​

  1. Browse markets on the Markets page
  2. Filter by category: Crypto, Politics, Sports, etc.
  3. Click on a market to view details

Popular market types:

  • Pump.fun tokens: "Will $TOKEN hit $1M market cap?"
  • Crypto prices: "ETH above $5,000 by April?"
  • Events: "Will event X happen by date Y?"

Step 2: Understand the Odds​

Each market shows:

ElementMeaning
YES priceCost to predict outcome happening (e.g., $0.65)
NO priceCost to predict outcome NOT happening (e.g., $0.35)
VolumeTotal trading activity
ExpiryWhen the market resolves
Price = Probability

A YES price of $0.65 means the market thinks there's a ~65% chance the event happens.

Step 3: Place Your Prediction​

  1. Click "Buy YES" or "Buy NO"
  2. Enter your prediction amount in USDC
  3. Review potential payout:
    • If you're right: Amount ÷ Price = Shares × $1.00
    • Example: $65 at $0.65 = 100 shares = $100 if correct

Enable Privacy (Optional)​

Toggle "Shield Prediction" before confirming to:

  • Hide your position from other traders
  • Protect against front-running
  • Keep your strategy private
🔒 Shielded: Only you can see this position

Step 4: Confirm Transaction​

  1. Review the trade summary
  2. Click "Confirm Prediction"
  3. Approve in your wallet
  4. Wait for confirmation (~1 second)

Step 5: Track Your Position​

View your active predictions in Portfolio:

  • Current value
  • Potential payout
  • Time until resolution

After Resolution​

When the market expires:

  • You were right: Shares pay out $1.00 each
  • You were wrong: Shares become worthless
  • Payouts: Automatic (or claim manually for shielded predictions)

Example Trade​

Market: "BONK to $0.001 by Feb 28?"

Your belief: 70% likely (but market says 55%)

Action: Buy YES at $0.55

Prediction: $55 USDC → 100 YES shares

If correct: 100 shares × $1.00 = $100 (82% profit)

If wrong: Shares worth $0 (lose $55)

Congratulations! You've made your first prediction. 🎉

Next: Learn about deposits →